Motor Trend’s take on AMC’s decline shows limitations of auto punditry

1966 AMC Ambassador DPL

The May 1966 issue of Motor Trend included an unusually long article about the woes of American Motors. The piece was written by Editor Donald Mac Donald, so presumably it displayed the magazine’s most sophisticated punditry. Yet it didn’t do a whole lot more than traffic in Detroit groupthink in rather vague, contradictory and petty ways.

Mac Donald started off by saying that AMC was coming up on its 12th birthday — and that there was “a real and substantial question” of whether the automaker would stay in business another three years. Yet his entire essay, which stretched across two pages with minimal graphics, offered little hard data that backed up his contention that American Motors was in such dire straits that it could go belly up.

For example, he implied that the loss of 339 dealers in 1965 was a “very big” problem “by any standard” but didn’t mention the total number of dealers and what was a normal churn rate.

Mac Donald instead paid more attention to offering colorful turns of phrase, such as that AMC president and CEO Roy Abernethy “knows his business as thoroughly as a fleet admirable knows the innards of his flagship.”

Meanwhile, Mac Donald got petty by criticizing Abernethy’s predecessor George Romney for not saying something nice when asked about AMC’s outlook. Romney had stated that “I have not been connected with the company or had any part in its affairs since the fall of 1962. I will say that the company product and competitive program are not the ones I would have followed.”

What’s wrong with being honest? “Grim AMC executives, all of whom have gone out of their way for years to speak of Romney only in the kindest of terms, kept their mouths shut tight, although various competitors were appalled at Romney’s lack of, well, tact,” Mac Donald wrote.

Mac Donald suggested that AMC management was consumed with dealing with labor issues but didn’t mention that things had gone downhill since Romney negotiated an innovative profit-sharing agreement with the UAW (Foster, 2017).

Questioning AMC management was okay until it wasn’t

What’s curious is that earlier in the essay Mac Donald suggested that American Motors had suffered from a board of directors that did not typically show enough independence to raise questions of management. Didn’t Romney just model what was needed? And since he had a record of success, might it not be worth exploring more deeply why he apparently thought the automaker had gone astray?

No can do. Mac Donald instead hammered on what he seemed to see as AMC’s core problem: that Abernethy and his team had not made a “clean break” from Romney’s approach, which was no longer in sync with a changing market.

Also see ‘Would AMC have done better if George Romney had stayed longer?

The irony is that Abernethy had spent arguably too much money to reorient American Motors away from Romney’s playbook of a narrow line of economy cars that emphasized practical improvements rather than frequent restylings.

As a case in point, the 1964 American was reportedly larger than what Romney had proposed while the mid-sized lineup was given a more rapid reskinning and a much broader range of body styles and models. Indeed, in contrast with Romney, Abernethy tried to match the Big Three model for model — and follow its lead by introducing top-end luxury and sporty models.

1966 Rambler Classic Rebel
In sync with the Big Three, AMC added top-end models such as the Rebel to the Classic line and the DPL to the Ambassador — and advertising tended to emphasize these models over Rambler’s traditional plebeian variants (Old Car Brochures).

Abernethy pivots — but apparently not hard enough

Mac Donald minimized the importance of Abernethy’s pivot away from Romney’s playbook, arguing that the Classic and Ambassador “remained saddled with thoroughly imbedded reputations for economy, at a time when economy was almost a dirty word.”

If that was indeed the case then why did Volkswagen sales soar past AMC’s in 1966 even though the German import fielded a much narrower lineup of slow-changing economy cars? Mac Donald was so Detroit-centric that he didn’t recognize how there was a growing market for economy cars — but they needed to be fun to drive.

Also see ‘AMC’s Roy Abernethy was increasingly hemmed in but not without options’

Instead, he went on to declare that Abernethy’s new halo coupe, the Marlin, had “failed dismally” because it only sold 9,000 units in 1965 — “scarcely enough to justify advertising expenditures, let alone tooling.”

To be fair, the Marlin was a relatively low-cost Classic variant that sold better than AMC’s mid-sized convertibles in both 1965 and 1966. Thus, it seems reaching to call it a dismal failure. However, as we have discussed here, American Motors also made plenty of beginner’s mistakes in entering the sporty-coupe market.

1965 Rambler 2-door hardtops
Abernethy spun off the Ambassador as a separate line in 1965 and dramatically expanded the number of body styles AMC offered. This raised fixed costs but did not improve sales. Click on image to enlarge (Old Car Brochures).

More performance was needed . . . until AMC offered it

Mac Donald also threw cold water on the prospects of a 1967 redesign of its mid-sized platform. He wrote that “already there are AMC executives who are privately and glumly forecasting that the restyling is uninspired and inadequate, in view of the competition.” Inadequate? What did they expect, the equivalent of a 1968 GTO?

In addition, left unexplored was whether such a tiny automaker could realistically keep up with the Big Three’s annual model change arms race. Romney didn’t try.

Just getting revved up, Mac Donald proceeded to question why AMC spent around $40 million for a new V8 engine. While it’s true that the automaker could have squeezed more life out of it existing V8, Mac Donald didn’t acknowledge that it was apparently too large to fit into AMC’s compact platform. Wouldn’t that be a problem if there was a need to shift away from an economy image?

For example, how could American Motors have even thought of offering a pony car like the 1968 Javelin — which was then under development — without a new V8?

1966 Rambler American
The Rambler American was the last U.S. compact to get a V8 engine in mid-1966, when it was the first AMC to offer the new-generation, thin-wall engine. Click on image to view full ad (Old Car Advertisements).

A good reason why Abernethy was sour on the press

An AMX concept car could “attract attention and sales” if it reached production, Mac Donald thought, but it could only be a stopgap model. “Eventually, AMC has to achieve solidity, distinctiveness — and most importantly — uniqueness. It is not large enough to combat the Big Three on their terms. It must find its own individual product offering, one that sets it apart from its big brethren, yet embodies enough appeal to attract at least 500,000 customers annually.”

That’s sort-of true in theory, but Mac Donald arguably set the bar far too high sales-wise. American Motors didn’t even reach 459,000 units in its peak year of 1960. Maintaining anywhere close to that level of production was unlikely in the late-60s due to tougher competition from both the Big Three and imports.

Also see ‘Five questions about Aaron Severson’s take on American Motors’

Nor did Mac Donald did acknowledge how Romney did a better job than Abernethy of setting American Motors apart from the competition — and keeping fixed costs low with an unusually narrow lineup. Historian Patrick Foster (1993) has rightly criticized Abernethy for trying to compete too directly with the Big Three.

So in a way Mac Donald let Abernethy off too easy. However, his overall assessment of American Motors was so negative and contradictory that it is hard to see how management could win. Near the beginning of his essay, Mac Donald wrote that Abernethy had “turned sour on the press” because it was “hacking unfairly at him.” If this essay is any indication, I don’t blame the AMC head for thinking that way.

NOTES:

Specifications and sales/production figures from the auto editor of Consumer Guide (2006) and Gunnell (2004).


RE:SOURCES

Patrick Foster's George Romney biography

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